Urban flood risk analysis of buildings using HEC-RAS 2D in climate change framework

Abstract

Abstract The present study aims to assess flood depth, building risk analysis, and the effectiveness of various flood adaptation strategies to attenuate building risk caused by urban floods in climate change scenarios. A framework is proposed where a hydraulic model, Hydrologic Engineering Center's-River Analysis System 2D (HEC-RAS 2D), is applied for 2-dimensional flood modeling to estimate (a) submerged areas, (b) flood depth, and (c) building risk for extreme events corresponding to two representative concentration pathways (RCPs), 6.0 and 8.5. Greater Hyderabad Municipal Corporation (GHMC), India, is chosen for demonstration. Percentages of buildings in GHMC under high, medium, and low risks for RCP 6.0 are 38.19, 9.91, and 51.9% in the respective order, and these are 40.82, 10.55, and 48.63% for RCP 8.5. Six flood proofing (FP) strategies (S1–S6) are proposed for attenuating building risk along with the required capital cost. The capital investment required for FP to achieve the ideal situation of no risk for all buildings (strategy S6) works out to Rs. 3,740 × 107 and Rs. 3,800 × 107 for RCPs 6.0 and 8.5. It is observed that the effect of adaptation strategies is significant.