The Future of Rural Poland: the Main Trends and Possible Scenarios.

Author:

Bański Jerzy

Abstract

Abstract The objective of the report is to attempt the identification of the most significant factors that will shape Polish countryside until the year 2050 and to outline the feasible scenarios of changes in rural areas. The study is based primarily on qualitative analysis and on the knowledge of experts specialising in rural subject matter in its different thematic domains. Six groups of factors were distinguished (economic, technological, legal and administrative, political, socio-demographic, natural) and for each of these groups the most important conditions were analysed. The image of the Polish countryside in the perspective of the decades to come will most probably not undergo radical shifts. However, we can make the proposition that this countryside will be more diversified, more socially and economically active, and more attractive as the place of residence and of work.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Subject

Sociology and Political Science,Geography, Planning and Development

Reference49 articles.

1. Abildtrup, J., Audsley, E., Fekete-Farkas, M., Giupponi, C., Gylling, M., Rosato, P. & Rounsevell, M. 2006 ‘Socio-economic scenario development for the assessment of climate change impacts on agricultural land use: a pairwise comparison approach’, Environmental Science and Policy 9: 101-115.

2. Bański, J. 2013a Polska wieś w perspektywie 2050 roku (Polish countryside in the perspective of the year 2050; in Polish), Studia Obszarów Wiejskich 33, Warszawa: PTG, IGiPZ PAN.

3. Bański J. (ed.) 2013b Polska wieś w perspektywie długookresowej-ujęcie regionalne (Polish countryside in a long-term perspective – the regional approach; in Polish). Studia Obszarów Wiejskich, 31, PTG, IGiPZ PAN.

4. Coates, J.F. 2000 ‘Scenario Planning’, Technological Forecasting and Social Change 65: 115-123.

5. Dammers, E. 2010 ‘Making territorial scenarios for Europe’, Futures 42: 785-793.10.1016/j.futures.2010.04.010

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3