Application of Bayesian machine learning for estimation of uncertainty in forecasted plume directions by atmospheric dispersion simulations

Author:

Kadowaki Masanao1,Nagai Haruyasu1,Yoshida Toshiya2,Terada Hiroaki1,Tsuduki Katsunori1,Sawa Hiroki13

Affiliation:

1. Tokai Research and Development Center, Japan Atomic Energy Agency, Ibaraki, Japan

2. Japan Wind Energy Consulting Inc, Tokyo, Japan

3. KCS Corp, Ibaraki, Japan

Publisher

Informa UK Limited

Subject

Nuclear Energy and Engineering,Nuclear and High Energy Physics

Reference30 articles.

1. Imai K, Chino M, Ishikawa H. SPEEDI: A computer code system for the real-time prediction of radiation dose to the public due to an accidental release. JAERI–1297. Japan: Japan Atomic Energy Research Institute; 1985. p. 93.

2. Development of Scheme for Predicting Atmospheric Dispersion of Radionuclides during Nuclear Emergency by Using Atmospheric Dynamic Model.

3. Headquarters NER report of Japanese government to the IAEA ministerial conference on nuclear safety – The accident at TEPCO’s Fukushima Nuclear Power Stations. Tokyo: Government of Japan; 2011. [cited 2022 Oct 25] Available from: https://japan.kantei.go.jp/kan/topics/201106/iaea_houkokusho_e.html

4. Ensemble dispersion forecasting—Part I: concept, approach and indicators

5. Ensemble dispersion forecasting—Part II: application and evaluation

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