Yellow Vests, Pessimistic Beliefs, and Carbon Tax Aversion

Author:

Douenne Thomas1,Fabre Adrien2

Affiliation:

1. Paris School of Economics, Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne, and University of Amsterdam (email: )

2. Paris School of Economics, Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne, and ETH Zürich (D-MTEC) (email: )

Abstract

Using a representative survey, we find that after the Yellow Vests movement, French people would largely reject a tax and dividend policy, i.e., a carbon tax whose revenues are redistributed uniformly to each adult. They overestimate their net monetary losses, wrongly think that the policy is regressive, and do not perceive it as environmentally effective. We show that changing people’s beliefs can substantially increase support. Although significant, the effects of our informational treatments on beliefs are small. Indeed, the respondents that oppose the tax tend to discard positive information about it, which is consistent with distrust, uncertainty, or motivated reasoning. (JEL D83, H23, H31, Q54, Q58)

Publisher

American Economic Association

Subject

General Economics, Econometrics and Finance

Reference53 articles.

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2. Intergenerational Mobility and Preferences for Redistribution

3. Anderson, Soren T., Ioana Elena Marinescu, and Boris Shor. 2019. "Can Pigou at the Polls Stop US Melting the Poles?" NBER Working Paper 26146.

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5. Baude, Manuel, Mathieu Baudry, Fraçois-Xavier Dussud, Jérôme Duvernoy, Clément Bultheel, and Charlotte Vailles. 2019. Chiffres clés du climat-France, Europe et Monde. Paris: Ministère de la Transition Écologique et Solidaire.

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