Analysis of Geoeffective Impulsive Events on the Sun During the First Half of Solar Cycle 24

Abstract

AbstractA coronal mass ejection (CME) is an impulsive event that emerges rapidly from the Sun. We observed a quiet Sun without many spectacular episodes during the last decade. Although some fast halo and partial halo CMEs had taken place, among them was the backside CME on 23 July 2012. In this work, we verify the link between the variability of solar-wind, heliospheric and geomagnetic parameters and the transmission grid failures registered in southern Poland during 2010 – 2014 when many geomagnetic storms appeared, caused by halo and partial halo CMEs. We aim to apply three machine learning methods: Principal Components Analysis, Self-Organizing Maps, and Hierarchical Agglomerative Clustering to analyze sources on the Sun and the impacts of the intense geomagnetic storms in the first half of Solar Cycle 24. The conducted analyzes underline the importance of solar-wind proton temperature and point out other solar-wind and geomagnetic parameters independently indicated by all the methods used in this study.