Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union

Published:2021-08-09 Issue:6 Volume:8 Page:1208-1226
ISSN:2095-8293
Container-title:International Journal of Coal Science & Technology
language:en
Short-container-title:Int J Coal Sci Technol

Author:

Mohr Steve^ORCID,Wang Jianliang,Ward James,Giurco Damien^ORCID

Abstract

AbstractDetailed projections of the Former Soviet Union (FSU) fossil fuel production has been created. Russian production has been modelled at the region (oblast) level where possible. The projections were made using the Geologic Resource Supply-Demand Model (GeRS-DeMo). Low, Best Guess and High scenarios were created. FSU fossil fuels are projected to peak between 2027 and 2087 with the range due to spread of Ultimately Recoverable Resources (URR) values used. The Best Guess (BG) scenario anticipates FSU will peak in 2087 with production over 170 EJ per year. The FSU projections were combined with rest of the world projections (Mohr et al. 2015b), the emissions from the High scenario for the world are similar to the IPCC A1 AIM scenario.

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Energy Engineering and Power Technology,Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology

Link

https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s40789-021-00449-x.pdf

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