Survival Analysis and Immune Differences of HIV Long-Term Non-progressors in Xinjiang China: A 12-Year Prospective Cohort Observation

Abstract

AbstractThis 12-year cohort study of 80 long-term non-progressors (LTNPs) observed a cumulative follow-up duration of 628.5 person-years. Among them, 60 received antiretroviral therapy (ART) for a total of 418.6 person-years. Twenty-four deaths occurred during the follow-up period, with an average age of 42.36 years and a lowest 8-year survival rate of 0.90. Cox model analysis revealed that the risk of AIDS-related death was 1.47 times higher for non-marital, non-commercial heterosexual transmission than for injection drug use. Treatment initiation at ages 31–40 was correlated with an elevated risk of mortality, while treatment for 3–10 years reduced mortality risks in untreated LTNPs. Flow cytometry observed significant differences in the proportion of NK cells. Long-term ART (> 2 years) before LTNPs developed AIDS symptoms could lower mortality risk and potentially extend lifespan, especially when it was initiated at a younger age without affecting NK cell balance. Epidemiological and immunological studies on ART-treated LTNPs are vital for advancing HIV treatment and achieving functional cures for AIDS individuals.