Remote effect of model systematic bias in tropical SST on the cold bias over the Tibetan Plateau

Abstract

AbstractMost state-of-the-art climate models substantially underestimate the near-surface air temperature (SAT) over the Tibetan Plateau (TP), especially for the cold season. While previous studies have attributed this cold bias to local factors such as the elevation difference, coarse resolution, and excessive snow cover, this investigation addresses the potential contributions of the systematic bias of tropical sea surface temperature (SST) to the TP cold bias. Experiments with the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model demonstrate that tropical SST bias results in an apparent cold bias over the TP, especially in boreal winter, and explains about 40% of the deviation in multi-model mean SAT over the TP relative to station observations. Forced by the tropical SST bias, heat flux exhibits an anomalous divergence over the plateau, causing a cooling center in the mid- and lower-troposphere over the TP. This atmospheric cooling in turn leads to a reduction of the downward longwave radiative fluxes reaching the surface, less energy supply, and thus a cold bias over the TP.